Why Nebraska Football May Only Be Above Average in 2010 - An Outsider's Perspective
Blogpolls have been coming out across the blogosphere (been a while since I used that phrase... ugh), and while most have Nebraska ranked around the top ten, there was one that caught my eye, and that was Spencer Hall's ballot at Every Day Should Be Saturday.
Hall didn't rank Nebraska.
His reasoning:
For instance, we don't have Nebraska on there because in many ways last year they were Iowa with a.) a mutant on the defensive line, and b.) a worse offense than the Hawkeyes. Take away mutant, return same shitty offense, and you end up unranked.
Forget that Hall has Nebraska unranked - we all know that preseason polls don't mean anything (though it still hurts to be so bluntly rejected) - it's apparent that Hall doesn't think Nebraska will be that good, so I thought I'd ask him for a deeper explanation than what he's given above (even though his thoughts are pretty clear).
After the jump is a Q&A session with Hall. It's not for those who like things sugar-coated, but I think you can handle it.
Q: I think most Nebraska fans would accept the idea that Ndamukong Suh was good enough to be branded a "mutant", but, given Bo Pelini's status as a defensive master, isn't there a possibility that there's another mutant defensive lineman in the works?
Every Nebraska fan will be happy to wax poetic about Suh's season last year, but few will acknowledge just how big a hole losing the best defensive lineman in college football will be, even with Jared Crick lining up to replace him. I've seen a Pelini defense without its key defensive tackle in the form of Glenn Dorsey and the 2007 LSU defense, and they are very different animals with greatly varying results on defense. They'll have to blitz more to get pressure, and that leaves bigger holes, and thus higher risk/reward than you saw last year.
The real factor that scares the daylights out of me re: Nebraska is their offense, though, specifically the case of Zac Lee. If they get behind in any of their games it will be on Lee to bail them out, and if the thought of that comforts you then you ride with the devil and brush your teeth with lit sparklers. I admire you for it, but I'm not following you on that ledge.
Q: I'll grant you that Nebraska's offense last season was horrid, but do you really expect us to be horrid again since we have a quarterback who's gone through a season of starts, a clear set of starters at receiver, at least two good running backs, and enough offensive linemen to get through the season? As horrid as last year?
Not as horrible as last year, but you're also not going to be the number one ranked defense, either. The losses don't quite offset each other here (at least not in my highly speculative non-ranking of them. Emphasis on HIGHLY SPECULATIVE.)
Other polls have Nebraska highly ranked - are we to take it that you:
1. are a madman
Probable.
2. more insightful than most college football pundits
Certainly not.
3. going for shock value
Not at all. If I want to do that, I'll photoshop Bo Pelini's head on Juila Stiles's body and have him dance with an equally photoshopped Gary Pinkel on a "Save the Last Dance" poster.
4. were clearly pissed at having to watch Nebraska's offense last season and found it so utterly non-offensive you're taking it out on us at the beginning of this season
Probably the best guess of all of these.
5. have been bought out by Texas
There is no new flossy Caddy in the driveway, so no.
Q: The Huskers play in the Big 12 North. Do you see another team winning the North, or do you believe that even with winning the North the Huskers deserve to be unranked at the end of the season?
No, certainly not. If the win the Big 12 North they deserve to be ranked and ranked well. I don't have them on there because in my mind they've got some serious questions in terms of replacing a key cog on their defense and demonstrating some competence on offense.
And do remember, it is a preseason ranking and nothing more. I'll happily put them in the polls that actually count, the ones based on how teams actually play during the season. I'm particularly interested in the Washington game since the Huskies will be a nice stress test for the revamped Husker defense early in their schedule.
Q: Care to offer any predictions on Nebraska's win-loss record this season?
Somewhere around eight wins, maybe nine. Rank guessing, but that's where we are eight days out from actual football.
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This guy also has a 5-7 team from last season ranked in his top ten
So therefore, I will not be taking his list too seriously. He supports his rankings with some valid evaluations, but I’d be interested to see how his top 25 holds up throughout the season. One way to gain a lot of attention is to make an obvious omission of what many believe to be very good 2010 Nebraska football team, and it looks like he got what he was looking for.
So.
It doesn’t change the fact that Washington appears on his top ten, at number 8, with a bullet. Like I said, I’d be interested to see how his top 25 holds up throughout the season.
by GBR918 on Aug 26, 2010 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I'm forced to agree...
With the esteemed gentleman, even though he’s a M*ch*gan fan. Dude, Spencer Hall.
by Chicubs11636 on Aug 26, 2010 4:36 PM CDT up reply actions
I'd be interested to see how any preseason top 25 holds up throughout the season.
Football games. They play them for a reason.
That is sooooo not funny - Maize N Brew Dave
Sports bloggers.
They have them for a reason—to provide accurate, insightful, and relevant commentary on specific subject matter. If you’re going to jock one, at least pick one who appears to know what he’s talking about.
Easy, folks, put down those torches...
Those are legitimate questions Spencer’s broaching. You’ll have plenty of opportunities to watch the dreadful 2009 offense on cable this week: I think NU-Texas is being replayed nine times or something before kickoff next week. Woeful just barely begins to cover how bad our offense was in 2009.
Above all, note how many times Spencer says he’s GUESSING to the best of his ability. EVERYONE. IS. GUESSING. RIGHT. NOW. Spencer is just one of the few who are honest about it.
And spend some time over at EDSBS, btw: funniest college football blog out there.
"...when the devil says to you: do not drink, answer him: I will drink, and right freely, just because you tell me not to."
— Martin Luther
by Go Big Rev on Aug 26, 2010 1:50 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
I pretty much only listen to Phil Steele, and he writes, “…they are the most talented team in the Big 12 North and 6 of my 9 sets of power ratings call for a 12-0 regular season.”
Flukes happen, injuries happen, and 8 turnovers happen, so I am not saying they will go 12-0, but I believe 10-11 wins is a reasonable forecast.
I may not agree with this conclusions
But he lays out his reasoning and none if it is that outlandish. I happen to think the defense will be as good as last year, and despite the concerns I have with the QB the rest of the offense should be improved.
He doesn’t, and that’s ok.
It is funny that NOW everyone realizes how good Suh was. But somehow he wasn’t the “Best Player in College Football”.
You can't possibly be a scientist if you mind people thinking that you're a fool.
~Wanko the Sane
Big Red Kool-aid Drinker @ Corn Nation
Three words...
Marvin Freakin’ Sanders.
Nebraska’s d-line was very very good last year, but as I was watching the BigXII title game and the Holiday Bowl from last year, something dawned on me, Nebraska’s d-line wasn’t getting a ton of initial pressure. If you watch either of those games, especially the Holiday Bowl, you will notice that the QBs are holding the ball for 3+ seconds on most of the plays that ended in sacks.
Nebraska’s secondary was downright scary at some points last season. If, and it’s a big if, the secondary can play as well as it did last year, I don’t think the d-line will have any problems this season.
[Osborne's] school has this ultimatum from Texas to either spit or get off the pot. Commit to the Big 12, Texas is saying, or we'll take this Pac-10 offer, rake in more cash and kiss the Big 12 goodbye. It's on you, Nebraska. Texas is good at this sort of thing -- it could blame Cadillac for those Toyota brake problems and get away with it. - Dennis Dodd
by Screwface on Aug 26, 2010 10:45 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
Should read
“…the QBs are holding the ball for 6+ seconds…”
[Osborne's] school has this ultimatum from Texas to either spit or get off the pot. Commit to the Big 12, Texas is saying, or we'll take this Pac-10 offer, rake in more cash and kiss the Big 12 goodbye. It's on you, Nebraska. Texas is good at this sort of thing -- it could blame Cadillac for those Toyota brake problems and get away with it. - Dennis Dodd
by Screwface on Aug 26, 2010 11:55 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions

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