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Nebraska vs Oklahoma: Still Trying To Understand Losing The Last Big 12 Championship Game

Oklahoma had their playmaking receiver. Nebraska did not. Was the loss of Niles Paul a huge factor in this game?


Being some kind of masochist, I went back and watched the Oklahoma game again, wondering if I'd made the wrong snap judgements just after the game. It didn't change my mind much. I remain convinced that Nebraska could do better than Shawn Watson as an offensive coordinator. While Watson didn't cause the turnovers that cost Nebraska the game and have plagued this this team all year long, I fell like he could have put the Huskers in a better position to win the game.

More after the jump....

Star-divide

Did you realize that Taylor Martinez hasn't scored a touchdown on the ground since the Kansas State game, and hadn't throw a touchdown pass since Missouri? That's a significant drought, and if you want to blame it on injury, be my guest. I'll blame it on youth - particularly Martinez' lack of pass accuracy and his inability to secure the football. It was clear that Martinez was no threat running the ball against Oklahoma, or at least not enough of a threat that the Sooners keyed on him.

Without no worry of Martinez' speed on the ground, Oklahoma decided to make him win this game through the air. It's where they won the game. The obvious turning point in the game came on the Martinez interception in the second quarter. It had an obvious affect on Martinez' confidence, and when that happens it affects the rest of the team.

What I don't understand is how protective the coaches seemed to be of Cody Green's confidence earlier in the season, but left Martinez on the field even though they had to know he was struggling.

The second half turned into a nightmare for the Husker offense. They generated little yardage, didn't keep the ball very long, and committed costly turnovers.

Here's Nebraska's second half drives and their results:

5 plays, 5 yards, 2:41        
Martinez fumble turnover

3 plays, 2 yards, 1:29        
Drive starts with false start, two incomplete passes

3 plays, 6 yards, 1:32        
Two rushes for 3 yards each, incomplete pass

8 plays, 22 yards, 4:33    
Gained first down, the 1st down sack leaves long yardage, short pass complete then incomplete
on 3rd and long

3 plays, 22 yards, 1:11    
Rex Burkhead  bad snap recovered by OU

3 plays, 6 yards, 1:01        
Two incomplete passes in a row, sack

5 plays, 11 yards, 3:03    
Burkhead wildcat first down in two plays, then a short gain, sack on third down, Burkhead just misses Martinez on long pass

4 plays, 6 yards, 0:43
short pass complete, sack, complete to Kinnie, then incomplete and game. Sad thing here - if Martinez had hit Kyler Reed on that play, Reed might still be running with the ball.

The last play is telling - by that time Martinez had been harassed to the point that he was prone to mistakes and he was staring down his receivers.

In the fourth quarter, Nebraska rushed the ball nine times for 23 yards, and completed four of eight passes for 23 yards. That's pretty atrocious offense. Rex Burkhead gained 41 yards on five carries, but also had a fumble on a bad snap from Mike Caputo. Watson didn't quit running the Wildcat completely after that - Burkhead picked up enough yardage to gain a first down on a later series, but after a short gain, perhaps Watson felt that Oklahoma was going to shut down the Wildcat so he called a pass from Burkhead to Martinez that nearly connected (and likely would have changed the outcome of the game). So, bad timing and an inability to execute strikes again. 

That was the second to last series. The last series started with 1:46 left. We could debate whether there was enough time left on the clock for Burkhead to run some more Wildcat to get Alex Henery within field goal range, but Watson decided that he needed to pass. By this time Martinez is suffering from tunnel vision bad enough that he can only hit Joe Broekemeier for a short gain, take a bad sack, then try two telegraphed pass plays to Brandon Kinnie.

Would it have been fair to Cody Green to come into the game on that last series? You put him in the position of people blaming him for a loss - everyone blames the guy at the end, don't they?. Still, Green is a big boy. (He's not a kid, despite people who want to insinuate the "they're just kids" crap that's usually followed by "don't take it so seriously" and then leads me into massive arguments about exactly what we're allowed to be serious about and what we're not and this is one of the reasons why I don't have a lot of friends. But I digress.) If Green is expected to be a quarterback at Nebraska, shouldn't he be up for taking on the burden? Again, a mystery to me.

The offensive line played very well in the first quarter, but then struggled with the speed of the Sooner defense. With Martinez unable to run the ball effectively, the Sooners had a mathematical advantage (if you're not worried about one guy running, you have an extra man to play run defense against everyone else). While the line played okay (most of the sacks were coverage sacks - Martinez couldn't find an open receiver, then couldn't make plays with his feet), there were several plays in which they couldn't reach their blocks.

Why the Huskers have so many running plays in which linemen are required to pull and run down faster defenders to make their blocks remains a mystery to me. The line remains plagued by false starts - perhaps if the blocking scheme were changed to limit the amount of pulls, lineman would be less prone to starting early. You might have a tendency to believe the line operates that way because Barney Cotton is an "old option coach", but don't buy into that. The offense is Watson's responsibility. We'll see if they change the blocking schemes during the off-season. (Don't hold your breath on that, I'm sure we'll be told the offense is fine.)

Niles Paul was sorely missed. Some Nebraska fans had been angered enough by Paul's miscues that they didn't want him on the field, and you saw the result. Could Martinez have hit him on some long pass plays? The possibility is there, but one thing is clear - without Paul, the Huskers couldn't stretch the field. 

Will we see a different Martinez in the Holiday Bowl? Is it his injuries that have rendered him so ineffective, or is it a lack of confidence? We heard earlier in the season that Martinez was unflappable, yet in the the Big 12 Championship game, he made some serious mistakes that cost Nebraska the game. Some of those are to be expected from a young starting quarterback, yet the Huskers had the chance to win a championship and didn't pull it off (again).

I'm guessing I'll be playing this game over and over in my head for quite some time to come. It's not like last year's game. We went into the 2009 game with nearly no one giving us a chance to win. This year there were plenty of people who expected Nebraska to win.

It's Wednesday. Perhaps it's time to move on?

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If not Watson, then who?

I’m not saying I defending Watson. His playcalling screwed us in more than one big game this year. My question is, who is out there to replace him?

-I see Frost was named an up-and-coming guy, but do you hand the keys to the team to a guy with no play-calling experience? Sometimes you have to roll the dice. Bo was never a DC before he came to NU either.

-I saw Greg Davis’ name thrown around. Maybe he deserved to be run out of Texas, but sometimes a guy just needs a change of scenery. On the other hand, maybe he got lucky with 2 once in a decade QBs back to back.

-Mark Mangino is a former OC and OL coach. Would he consider a job like this, and would we want him?

Any other ideas? Names you have heard? People you would like to see?

by newbie34 on Dec 8, 2010 8:22 AM CST reply actions  

I'm pretty sure

Greg Davis is retiring…and no one in their right mind would hire Java the Hutt.

I do like the idea of Frost. Sure, no experience…but he would be very passionate about the program and he would want to learn and grow. I’d say bring in a big “up-and-coming” guy who we know will be onto a head coaching job in 3-5 years, and then bring in Frost as a QB coach so he can have a few years more years of being tutored. Then when the big “up-and-coming” guy moves on to a head coaching job, Frost takes over as OC.

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 9:48 AM CST up reply actions  

I think what Newbie is wondering

Is ‘Who is that big up-and-coming guy?’

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 10:06 AM CST up reply actions  

Exactly

And you could argue Frost is that up and coming Guy. He’s not likely to leave Oregon in a lateral move…if he moves on it’s going to be for a promotion and a raise. The question is, can or should we be the team to give him that chance?

by newbie34 on Dec 8, 2010 10:18 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Liking the idea more

about bringing Frost in, but agree with Billgrip that putting him as a QB coach first would be more beneficial. Imagine him being a mentor for Martinez.

by CCE718 on Dec 8, 2010 10:41 AM CST up reply actions  

This.

Remember – we have no idea whether Frost has any gameplanning or playcalling ability, which are the primary jobs of the offensive coordinator.

I like the idea of bringing Frost on as a QB (or WR) coach and assistant OC, but you’ve still gotta have somebody else calling plays.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 11:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Precisely

QB coach/asst OC first, then see how he progresses. Have him learn from someone. It is too bad that Gill did not come back to be OC under Bo, but I understand that his career was blooming and he grew out of the OC position.

by CCE718 on Dec 8, 2010 12:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Giving him the assistant OC duties would be a promotion.

That would mean having a hand in gameplanning/playcalling, which he’s definitely not doing at Oregon.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 9:01 PM CST up reply actions  

He’s not likely to leave Oregon in a lateral move

You best believe he would for Nebraska.

@GochfaceKillah on Twitter

by Screwface on Dec 8, 2010 6:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Offensive mind, failed head coach

Another route to take is the offensive mind who fell short as head coach. The trick is to find a guy willing to take the pay cut and not be THE guy. Names:

-Josh McDaniels – successful OC before bombing in Denver.

-Dan Hawkins – put Boise on map before crashing at CU.

Mike Leach – 0% chance he takes an OC position, but a guy can dream.

-Bill Callahan – ahahahahahaha! Sorry.

by newbie34 on Dec 8, 2010 10:25 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Ugh

Josh McDaniels = Callahan 2.0

by CCE718 on Dec 8, 2010 10:42 AM CST up reply actions  

Maybe

But don’t forget, Callahan’s short coming was his defense. His offenses were quite successful, and he was a pretty good X’s and O’s guy. Now I feel dirty for defending both Callahan and McDaniels. I’m gonna go shower.

by newbie34 on Dec 8, 2010 10:46 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Exactly

Great offensive minds, but in the end, not suited for college, especially at Nebraska with the big traditional history. Hence my UGH. I am hoping that Watson does leave, preferably for the HC job at Vanderbilt, and Bo has a good OC in mind.

by CCE718 on Dec 8, 2010 12:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Problem with Callahan's offense

He completely changed our existing offensive philosophy and in doing so sacrificed 2 seasons. We need a guy who can come in and run an offense like we have already except better than Watson. If we bring in some guy who wants to change everything, then a lot of our players probably won’t be well-suited for the new offense.

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 5:04 PM CST up reply actions  

+1

So I tried the Barbasol and Rotel dip and I was very dissapointed!

by Amonra on Dec 9, 2010 9:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Josh McDaniels- Ego the size of Nebraska, I dont see him taking orders from someone else. Plus he cheats

Dan Hawkins- Maybe he has another kid we can use as Quaterback? lol NO

Mike Leach- He will be a HC somewhere soon

The name that can not be spoken- Not funny. Too soon

So I tried the Barbasol and Rotel dip and I was very dissapointed!

by Amonra on Dec 8, 2010 10:47 AM CST up reply actions  

Bryan Harsin

Harsin is a name I see coming up alot lately for a various OC postions.
I assume NU pays more than Boise St?

So I tried the Barbasol and Rotel dip and I was very dissapointed!

by Amonra on Dec 8, 2010 10:42 AM CST up reply actions  

The flaw

In this line of thinking is that we need a “name” guy. Who had heard of Bo Pelini before Frank hired him? What we need is a guy who knows QBs, offenses, and can coach up the talent he has. Doesn’t matter if he’s a big name or an unknown.

by newbie34 on Dec 8, 2010 11:14 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

To paraphrase something from an OWH chat a few days ago

Once Pelini demands the same kind of excellence out of his offenses that he does out of his defenses, they’ll start winning games like this one. But not before.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 8:35 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

that is

probably the most appropriate comment I’ve ever heard about this situation.

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 8, 2010 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

It's over, Jon!

It’s history. No matter how much you analyze it, the result is still going to be the same: Nebraska lost. Was it Watson’s fault? Pelini’s? Who knows?

All you can do is sit back, wait for Martinez to get healthy (and be there next year), see if Watson leaves, watch the corn grow next spring, and see what happens. No matter how much you bitch, complain, whine and curse, it really won’t have any impact on what has happened or what will happen. Go with it and enjoy a beer at the same time!

You need to relax a little more anyway – have you been to the Dr. for a check-up recently? Approaching that big 50 is a major milestone – I know – I reached it this past October.

Nebraska will come around and do good things in the Big Ten! Just give them some time, and drink a few more beers in the meantime!

by MSS1960 on Dec 8, 2010 9:07 AM CST reply actions  

Hmmmmmmmmmmmm

last check up I had was last year after the Iowa State game and I said I’d never get another physical during football season again….

http://www.cornnation.com/2009/10/28/1105087/do-you-feel-like-youre-being

I’m not technically a Boy Scout leader anymore, but if you want to be a leader at their camps, they require physical forms, and with the youngest turning 12 in less than a month, he’ll be doing more challenging camping, which means I’ll have to get a physical once a year to meet any requirements to go with him (and are you kidding, some of these camps are pretty cool, but you’d better be in shape if you want to do anything).

Relax….. hmmmmm, never done that part very well, have I?

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 8, 2010 12:39 PM CST up reply actions  

It's so sad

Looking back, it’s so sad how close we were to breaking through in that game…3 times really. The first was when we were in field goal range and Martinez took the sack that put us out of field goal range. The second was when we were moving the ball pretty effectively with Burkhead until the bad snap. I think we could have gotten a field goal maybe a TD that drive. And then the pass from Burkhead to Martinez…Burkhead’s only incomplete pass of the year, and Martinez dropped it. I think they should have had him running a go route there and not a post because he ran right into double coverage over the middle.

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 9:50 AM CST reply actions  

For the record

Martinez didn’t drop that pass – it was broken up before it ever got to him.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 10:07 AM CST up reply actions  

Missed that

I guess I didn’t see that on the replay, I just noticed that it was catchable and he dropped it

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 1:34 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't remember anyone getting to that ball.

Thought it was over the defense, but way out in front of Martinez. Wouldn’t call it a drop.

Either way, that’s a play you call on 1st and 10 or 2nd and short….NOT 2nd and 8.

by jkstar09 on Dec 9, 2010 2:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Frost

I’d say go ahead and get after Frost for the OC job… and Ganz as his assistant.

by tadub19 on Dec 8, 2010 11:22 AM CST reply actions  

People!

Being a former Nebraska quarterback in itself is not a qualification for a coaching job.

Frost has never called plays or created an offensive gameplan.

Ganz has never even been a position coach. He’s not even two years removed from his last game as a player.

Both would be in waaaaaaay over their heads in those positions. To suggest otherwise is just silliness.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 11:53 AM CST up reply actions  

I agree with about Ganz, but you have no idea what Frost is capable of (not that i do either)
I am sure that Bo and Dr. Tom will ask him the right questions to see what he can or can not do if he is given a chance.
But for the record Frost has:
8 yrs of NCAA coaching experience on both sides of the ball
6 yrs NFL playing experience
4 yrs NCAA playing experience (2 and NU and 2 at Stanford)

He just might know how to call plays

So I tried the Barbasol and Rotel dip and I was very dissapointed!

by Amonra on Dec 8, 2010 12:37 PM CST up reply actions  

i think

you’d have to bring Frost in as a position coach before you’d let him be a coordinator, if for no other reason, you need to know how he works with your staff.

Which leads me to this – you know that great offensive coordinators create other coaches, right, like Mike Leach’s influence on Oklahoma State’s Dana Holgorsen.

Who on the Nebraska staff is being groomed to take over for Shawn Watson? Barney Cotton? Does anyone want to see that happen? And keep in mind, I’m not talking about Watson being fired – it’s well know he wants to be a head coach, so if he would leave, who are they grooming to replace him?

You can look on the defensive side of the ball and see the young assistants, Mike Ekeler, John Papuchis. On the offensive side….???? Tim Beck?

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 8, 2010 12:43 PM CST up reply actions  

I've heard good things about Tim Beck

As a recruiter and as a coach. If Watson leaves for Vandy, I wouldn’t mind him as OC.

by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 8, 2010 1:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Tim Beck

I have also heard good things about Tim Beck…maybe he would be the right guy for the job. Or at least he might deserve a shot.

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 1:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Replacing Watson

 I read on the UCLA board they want to get rid of Norm Chow! I wrote we would trade 2 Watsons for 1 Chow. NO

by varns on Dec 8, 2010 12:30 PM CST reply actions  

I'm not necessarily against that....

Chow did very well at USC, but look at the talent he had to work with…. still…..

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 8, 2010 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Jon: Re: Big 12 Championship Game:

"...water for the corn." — petromax spambot

by Go Big Rev on Dec 8, 2010 1:11 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

I know, I know

who we can get….Florida head coach Urban Meyer! He’s announcing his retirement today. I’m sure he’d appreciate to cooler climate and less stress of coaching at Nebraska…lol!

by redvalley on Dec 8, 2010 1:55 PM CST reply actions  

More thoughts on Watson

Here’s the problem…Watson’s offense is so inconsistent, and that’s actually the reason he’s still here. One game is HORRIBLE and the next game is excellent causing you to forget or make excuses for the bad game. With Watson calling plays and Cotton coaching the O-line, it’s feast or famine. Sometimes the feasts happen against great teams like Missouri and Oklahoma State, and sometimes the famines happen against teams we should dominate like South Dakota State or Iowa State. All that said, we’ll probably roll over Washington again (their run D is atrocious) and then people will temporarily forget how horrible the offense was in the Big 12 championship. Even Pelini will forget. That’s what happened after the Holiday bowl last season…where in all honesty the 33 points really weren’t that much considering how many field goals we had instead of touchdowns and how good of position our D and special teams put the offense in all game.

I think the only way Pelini straight up fires Watson is if a horrible offensive game causes us to lose (or nearly lose) to Washington somehow, which I don’t see happening even on Watson’s worst day, but at the same time I wouldn’t be all that surprised if it does happen. Remember- feast or famine. We feasted on Washington last time…will this time be a famine? You never know with Watson and Cotton. But I’m guessing it’s another blowout and Watson and Cotton are still here next year

by Billgrip on Dec 8, 2010 4:56 PM CST reply actions  

Jon...let it go...

You’re starting to go all Dirk-Chatelain all over this one…

You do realize that Taylor Martinez has only played 7 out of the last 16 quarters since the Missouri game. (Or 7 out of the last 18 quarters since he got injured…)

by Husker Mike on Dec 8, 2010 7:51 PM CST reply actions  

Analysis of Martinez...

What I saw was a kid making freshman mistakes. If you watch his INT you will see what he saw, an open receiver. The problem is that it takes time for the ball to get there. if hes open when you see him, he will likely not be when the ball gets there. It also looked like his coach told him specifically not to run or make any more stupid mistakes. As far as going to your #2 guy…we do not have a better option at QB than Martinez. Green doesn’t increase our chances with his arm and takes any possibility for a scramble out of the equation, don’t forget his fumble issues as well. If theres any one play that killed us it isn’t an INT into the endzone in the 2nd quarter, its not being able to get the ball to a WIDE OPEN Martinez because Burkhead had to dance around a missed block.

In the end…it is what it is. Let’s regroup, retool, and get ready for the so-called Big 10.

by Conspiracy* on Dec 8, 2010 9:57 PM CST reply actions  

But

Martinez is the better option, however the reasons you cite are inaccurate when Martinez is not 100%. Martininez has just as many fumble issues as Green. He had 2 fumbles and recovered one. Also, Martinez’s scrambling ability is severely hampered when he is not 100%. When did he make a play against OU with his feet? Exactly, he never got the corner against their D because he had lost a step due to his injury. You are really going to pin the loss on a running back not being able to hit a qb on a gimmick play? Wow. To each his own.

by nolahusker on Dec 9, 2010 1:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Hmmmmmmmmmm

what I’m hearing is – it’s time to move On?

is there a cat for that?

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 9, 2010 1:45 PM CST reply actions  

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