As I expected, the train wreck of Dan Hawkins continued into this season as Colorado continued to struggle in mediocrity until Dan Hawkins told his team to relax late in the game against Kansas. Turner Gill's squad pulled off the inconceivable fourth quarter comeback, and Hawkins was fired days later. In came longtime devoted assistant coach Brian Cabral as interim coach, and the Buffs have exploded now that they're free of the suckage that was Hawkins.
Colorado primarily went with Tyler Hansen at quarterback until Hansen suffered a ruptured spleen against Texas Tech. Now Cody Hawkins finishes out the season as the Buffs signal caller. Rodney Stewart is having an all-Big XII season at running back with 1,230 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Toney Clemons and Paul Richardson have emerged to complement Scotty McKnight as the Buffs' primary receiving targets.
For the first seven games, the defense was led by linebacker Jon Major who had 57 tackles before suffering a season ending knee injury. Fellow linebacker Michael Sipili now leads the Buffs with 84 tackles this season. The Buffales are stout against the run, allowing only 129 yards a game as the second best rushing defense in the Big XII. But the Buffs can be beaten through the air, giving up an average of 270 yards a game (11th in the Big XII). Just stay away from cornerback Jimmy Smith...
A month ago, this game looked a lot easier than it does now. The Buffs were in a freefall, and the Huskers offense seemed to be more than enough to be able to handle Colorado. But injuries to Taylor Martinez and Zac Lee have hampered the Huskers, while the Buffs are playing inspired football under Cabral. So after pulling off two upsets in two games, the Buffs now come to Lincoln needing one more upset to get to bowl eligibility.
After the jump, a look at our August preview of the Buffaloes...
Last year, Colorado fans took offense at my characterization of Colorado's new offensive philosophy as a "square peg meet round hole" and a potential "train wreck." They brought up a good point that the Colorado offense wasn't very good in 2008, so a change was in order. Very true, but while it was clear from this side of the Flatirons that the change to a "pro-style" attack was going to make things even worse, Buffalo fans were sure that Colorado's new offensive coordinator meant to merely implement a "pro-style rushing attack." Bob Bell of the Ralphie Report made it quite clear:
By no means would our coaches be ignorant enough to think Cody Hawkins will beat anyone throwing 30 times a game…
Well, guess what. Colorado's quarterbacks didn't just throw thirty passes a game...they averaged nearly 40 passes a game in 2009. And it only took about a game and a half for the sad awful truth to set in when Toledo pasted the Buffs on a Friday night.
If there is one thing that's a bigger mess than Colorado's football team on the field, it is the financial situation of the athletic department. You see, Colorado still hasn't paid off the loans they used to buy out Gary Barnett. To lessen the buyout fees, Colorado now wants to hang around the Big XII another year rather than join the Pac-10 in 2011. So Colorado really had no choice but to keep Dan Hawkins around for the 2010 season.
That doesn't necessarily mean that Dan's son Cody will be the starting quarterback. The last two years, Colorado has attempted to redshirt Tyler Hansen, only to throw him into the lineup midseason. Hansen's a more mobile quarterback, but only netted 61 yards last season on 84 carries. As the season progressed, he became a little better passer, completing nearly 56% of his passes with eight touchdowns but seven interceptions. Hansen was named the starter last week, but don't be surprised if the Buffs turn to Cody Hawkins if the offense continues to struggle.
At running back, it's going to be junior Rodney Stewart carrying most of the load. Much ballyhooed recruit Darrell Scott bailed on the Buffs early last season, and transferred to South Florida. Stewart is a nice back, rushing for 804 yards and nine touchdowns last season, earning honorable mention all-Big XII mention. After that, the cupboard is rather bare. Brian Lockridge is the only other back with experience, rushing for 53 yards last season. Perhaps freshmen Quentin Hildreth or Justin Torres will step up and provide some depth here.
If the Buffs are going to insist on throwing the ball most of the time, they'll need some receivers produce, and Scott McKnight is Mr. Dependable for the Buffs. McKnight led the Buffs with 76 catches for 893 yards and six touchdowns last season. But after Markques Simas was dismissed from the squad this spring, the Buffs don't have a lot of experience returning at receiver. Junior Jason Espinoza is next on the list of returning receivers with 13 last season. Buff fans are looking for senior Travon Patterson, freshman Paul Richardson, junior Toney Clemons, or sophomore Will Jefferson to step up.
Colorado's offensive line has plenty of experience on the offensive line, but the results to date have been spotty to say the least. The Buffs ranked 113th in rushing last season and 117th in sacks allowed. Despite those totals, left tackle Nate Solder is a preseason all-American and right guard Ryan Miller was honorable mention all-Big XII last season. The Buffs think they finally have the depth to put together a decent offensive line.
Like the offensive line, the results on the defensive line don't match up with the experience level on the field. The Buffs were 80th in rush defense. Senior defensive end Marquez Herrod was the leader of the bunch with 38 tackles and a team leading six sacks last season. The Buffs frequently go with a 3 man line, bringing in an additional defensive back to go with a 3-3-5 nickel formation.
Only one starter returns at linebacker, senior B.J. Beatty who had only 30 tackles last season. Once again, the Buffs are hoping that young players like sophomore Jon Major, a former high school player of the year in Colorado, are going to step up and make an immediate impact.
At cornerback, the Buffs defense truly has a solid foundation. Seniors Jimmy Smith and Jalil Brown are the leaders of a secondary that ended up fourth in the Big XII in pass defense. Senior Anthony Perkins slides over to start at strong safety this season after starting much of last season at free safety, accounting for 78 tackles. Sophomore Ray Polk moves into the lineup at free safety; he added 40 tackles last season in a backup role. After that, the Buffs will be breaking in freshman in reserve roles, so again, inexperience raises it's head in Boulder.
Buff fans are optimistic going into this season. If the offensive line can reach it's potential and young talent at receiver and linebacker develops as they hope, this team should be better than last year. With home games against Hawai'i, Baylor, and Iowa State, Buff fans should be hoping to get wins against Colorado State, Kansas, and then pulling off one upset at some point to get to bowl eligibility.
And if that happens, don't be surprised if Colorado doesn't grant Dan Hawkins the contract extension he desires. Colorado still can't afford to buy out Hawkins, and letting Hawkins' run out his contract will absolutely destroy recruiting. Plus, let's be brutally honest. Hawkins is the second lowest paid coach in the Big XII; chances are that Colorado would need to pay a new coach more than Hawkins makes. If Colorado doesn't regress further this year, Colorado could negotiate a deal with Hawkins similar to the one Pat Hill and Fresno State agreed to. More years at a lower salary gives Colorado more time and budget flexibility to dig themselves out of their financial hole, and Hawkins gets a second chance to jumpstart his program with the assurance that, barring a complete collapse of the program, he's not leaving Boulder anytime soon.
That's likely not going to sit well with Buffalo fans who wrote off Hawkins last season, but some coaches need a little more time to get their program started. Dan McCarney didn't get Iowa State to a bowl game until his sixth season, so just because Hawkins has failed thus far doesn't make it an assurance he never will succeed.
What happens in the final Big XII Conference game for Colorado and Nebraska?
Buffies treat this game like the Rose Bowl, and the Huskers get pounded like a Big Ten team (36 votes)
The resurgent Buffs pull off an upset in a close game to become bowl eligible (73 votes)
Despite all of the Huskers' injury problems, the Huskers pull this one out. (151 votes)
Nebraska is still Nebraska, Colorado is still Colorado. NU Rolls. (89 votes)
349 total votes