Nebraska's Keys To Victory Over Oklahoma State
I ran out of time to do the "Five Reasons We'll Lose" and Five Reasons We'll Win" stuff, so we're back to the "Keys To Victory" format. Bottom line about the keys - they are the points in the game that will lead to success or failure. Not as purposeful at yanking the chains of passersby that get upset at seeing "We'll Lose" as a headline (what, I admit yanking chains? Yes!), but after spending too much time thinking about it, it's what I come up with.
There are football games that are all about mob rule. A whole bunch of guys get together and go up against another group of guys, just to see who can beat the crap out of the other guys the most. This ain't one of those games.
This game is all about isolation, about calling the plays that put your playmaker in a one-on-one situation with the opposition and hoping that they make a mistake. I ran out of time trying to do two separate "Five Reasons" articles, so consider this one that combines the specific keys to the game.
Gimmes: Turnovers, Penalties, Dropped Balls
1. The Mob Rules The Middle
We've already talked about this earlier in the Q&A session, but Nebraska's defensive line will need to keep the middle stopped up and stop the run to win this game.
2. Too Much Penetration Leads to Elimination
You seen the stat where Nebraska is 119th in tackles for loss? Does it like OMG bother you? I wouldn't let it. Take this Oklahoma State game, for example. Brandon Weeden isn't the kind of guy that's going to burn you with his feet, but he will burn you with a checkdown reception or shovel pass to Kendall Hunter. That's why it's better the Huskers don't just tear up the field in a race to get to the quarterback - it's because you'll get badly burned if you don't protect your gaps.
(Jim Gaffigan voice: Isn't this just an extension of #1? He's getting lazy.... )
3. Watch Da Middle Skadiddle
I had this nightmare last night about Kendall Hunter. Okie State goes four wide, doubles on each side, Hunter in a single back set. The four receivers run out routes, taking their defenders with them to the outside of the field. Lavonte David is left to cover the middle of the field, all by himself and Hunter burns him on a run up the middle for a long touchdown.
Like I said it was a nightmare.
4. Let's Meet Again On The Same NFL Team!
Any Husker fan worth their salt would bet corners Prince Amukamara and Alfonzo Dennard could cover any other team's best receivers in one-on-one man coverage. This week that coverage includes Justin Blackmon. It'll be a great battle between these guys, and Nebraska will need to win it to avoid giving up big plays and win this game. Simple, right?
Anyone doubt all three of them will be meeting later in the NFL?
5. Youthful Mistakes
Oklahoma State has four new starters on the offensive line, three new starters at linebacker, and three new starters in the secondary. Nebraska faced it's greatest test of the season last week and failed. This time it's the Cowboy's turn to face their greatest test of the season... and fail.
If you think Husker fans are worried about the potential mistakes our youthful linebackers might make against Kendall Hunter, how do you think Cowboy fans feel about their defense facing Taylor Martinez and Roy Helu?
Mistakes = big plays. Nebraska has been a big play offense most of this season. Time to get that back.
6. The Stop Martinez Blueprint Shmoeprint
You hear the cliché' repeatedly - "They've found the blueprint for stopping (whatever fantastic player or team is in the news but didn't live up to video game expectations this week)", and then they go on about as if everyone can do it. Here, I got a blueprint for you to stop Taylor Martinez. Before the play, you sneak up on him, and nail his feet to the ground. Poof! No more big plays! Ha! (Dinsdale!)
Funny thing is - you got a blueprint, but it still requires the personnel to execute it. Oklahoma State doesn't have near the team speed (especially at linebacker) that Texas has. Nor do they have the depth.
Blueprint? More like a shoeprint, left on your back as he's running over your failed attempts to dive at him. (Okay, that was bad, wasn't it? Bloody mary's all around! whoooo!)
7. Normally I Hate People Who Don't Get Hangovers
Let's face it, must of us get hangovers. Others do, but lie about it. And then there's that 5% of the population who drink adult beverages but don't feel any morning-after affects. Widely despised by the rest of us, they wake up happy, alert and ready to go on with their lives. I hate them. Someone invented the bloody mary with a beer chaser breakfast just for me.
It's a safe bet that if Bo Pelini senses anyone (players, not you or me) suffering from a Texas-sized hangover that they'll be off the field pretty quickly. Pelini would tell you this is not an issue. He also told you that Texas was just another game.
This is the biggest mental challenge the team faces this week, but I have faith in the Pelini. He'd scare me straight, that much I can tell you.
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I wish you drank and wrote more
This was like Hemingway.
You can't possibly be a scientist if you mind people thinking that you're a fool.
~Wanko the Sane
Big Red Kool-aid Drinker @ Corn Nation
#6
I do hate that cliché. I have a blueprint (plan) to buy a Corvette but God knows with 3 kids, a wife, my job, and a mortgage- I can’t afford it! But if I could….
by HuskerINtheArmy on Oct 22, 2010 11:49 AM CDT reply actions
Booze.
I think that’s a couple mentions of the hangover after last week’s game. You must’ve really hit it hard Saturday night, huh? Party on.
My biggest key to the game is whether or not we can force them to throw the ball on non-throwing downs. It seemed as if we couldn’t do it against Texas, so they ripped 3-4-5 yards on 1st & 2nd downs. The just threw short passes on 3rd when they needed to. If we can limit the rush damage, and force them to put the ball in the air, then I’m not afraid. But if they don’t have to throw, then that’s a bad sign for us.
Proud winner of the 2010 Corn Nation March Madness Tournament.
I mostly agree
.. and I too am super-pumped to watch the matchup of the corners vs Blackmon. And you are very right about the rookie mistakes Oklahoma State is prone to making… that is what scares us the most about this defense.
The only thing I would disagree with is that you dont need to get pressure on Weeden. After watching him for 6 games now I think the way he reacts to pressure is his biggest flaw as a QB. Pretty much every INT he has thrown this season has been as a result of pressure. The entire reason the Troy and A&M games were close were because of constant pressure on Weeden. He stopped going through his progressions because of the pass rush.
My only other very minor disagreement is that the OSU linebackers aren’t as fast as Texas’. Maybe, maybe not, but it is splitting hairs. These OSU linebackers, and the defense as a whole, are lightning fast… speed isn’t their problem. Being young and getting out of position is their problem.
cowboysrideforfree.com
Getting Pressure On Weeden
Defensively that seems to be a common key in most analysis, and this year we have not seen any push from the front four to amount to anything.
We need them to push the pocket back onto the quarterback and get into the faces of their backs. Otherwise we are gonna have to blitz – not a good thing with a confident passer and the nations number one receiver. They’ll just cut us up over the middle like opponents have been doing to us it seems like for years.
by UltimaRatioRegum on Oct 22, 2010 1:41 PM CDT reply actions
QB Pressure?
I really don’t see the “we haven’t been getting qb pressure” case. I’m not exactly reviewing tape, but when I see our d-line go into a pass protect scheme, it isn’t really built around stunting and gashing through to the QB. It’s rather about holding your position, letting the secondary blanket any receivers, then making the qb either make a play with his arm or try to run his way out of it after seeing he has nowhere to throw the ball.
This is exactly what SUUUH was great at. Sure at times he stunted/gashed, but more often than not he would hold his position, bat balls up in the air, or fill gaps when the was a delayed run, and I don’t see our scheme changing from last year.
This is also why you see corners & lb’s blitzing so much in passing situations, with the understanding that the line is simply holding their position (or even dropping back a step or two) to make up for the change in matchups from the blitzers.
Proud winner of the 2010 Corn Nation March Madness Tournament.
Hunter is great. Let me get that out of the way. He is dynamic, shifty, quick, he can make himself small in the hole. He personifies everything a coach wants in a running back.
Kanye (David) is very good at covering most backs one-on-one. I watched the K-State game again and noticed how well he reads the screen and the draw. His problem against K-State and Texas was he (through no fault of his own) was watching the RB in draw scenarios instead of the QB.
Most people tend to forget that the Pelini’s defense is designed for the linebackers and safeties to make all the plays. The D-line is to eat up as many blocks as they can so the LBs and DBs are clean to make plays. Suh was extremely good at shedding 2-3 blockers so he could make the play up the middle. Look at the stats from last year, when Suh didn’t have a dominant game Dillard did, and when Dillard didn’t, Suh did. Now that David has a firmer grasp of the defense, he’s starting to flourish. He has like what 47 tackles in the last 3 games?
I’m not really concerned about the “lack of production” out of the D-line because the defense isn’t really setup for them to “produce.”
@GochFaceKiller on Twitter
by Screwface on Oct 22, 2010 3:18 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
If we
don’t turnover the ball I like our chances. But if we it will be a long day.
Hey Jon,
You forgot one key: Martinex throwing for 300 yards and 5 scores.
How did you not call that?
Extend Jared Dudley!

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