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Around SBN: Terry Collins, David Wright, And The Mets/Brewers Kerfuffle

Five Reasons Nebraska Will Lose to Texas

You knew this was coming, didn't you? Especially after my neurotic explosion about the ways we've died playing Texas. Maybe I should just call these - "Why I Freak Out Before Every Game Despite How Good Things Look". 

Things look better for Nebraska than they have in many years. It's like the one that got away came back, and your relationship it starting over and could be everything you thought it could be.  Only one problem - she keeps talking about the guy she just left for you and you're not really sure if she's just using you to make him jealous. 

Fate, destiny, women, they're like that. Fickle. 

Time for an ultimatum. 

Star-divide

1. They're Texas.

Remember the Kansas State article where I said to forget all the stuff about ESPN Thursday night streaks, and things like that because they don't matter on the field? Well, that doesn't apply here. 

1-8 against them, so many close games, and so many different ways of losing. Blame it on a contract with Satan, fate, destiny, or just plain bad luck, this is one series in which one team truly has had another's number. 

I don't blame Husker fans for feeling confident, but going up against Texas AND some mystical force in the universe? Man, that's asking a lot, ain't it? 

2. Kheeston Randall Blows Up the Middle. 

Peter Bean mentioned it in that neurotic piece I did last night, but it bears repeating - Longhorn defensive tackle is the best in his position in the Big 12. He's not the mutant freak that Ndamukong Suh was, but he's a beast and the key to the Texas defensive line. 

If Husker fans learned something from having Suh around, it was that one explosive guy in the middle of the line could wreak utter havoc on an offense, particularly on the blocking schemes. If Randall can take on two guys and regularly beat them, it'll mean a lot less yardage on the ground because those same blockers will never get to the second level. Plays where we're trying to pull linemen will cease to work because he'll have disrupted the blocking lanes. 

3. Taylor Turnover

You know that Will Muschamp's focus will be on stopping Taylor Martinez and forcing him to throw. That means he'll be keying on Martinez and hitting him a lot, whether he keeps the ball or not. Texas' defense is fast, and their defensive secondary is lethal. 

Martinez will have to take better care of the ball, or it could spell trouble for the Huskers. That means eating the ball if he's getting sacked instead of throwing an interception.

That beautiful ball fake and run for touchdown Martinez had against Kansas State? I don't think that'll work against a much faster and more athletic Texas defense, so he'll have to make quicker decisions, executing the plays a step faster than he has so far this season. 

4. Greg Davis Stops Sucking and the Texas game plan works 

Even Texas fans will tell you this one is a little far-fetched, mostly because its all about Greg Davis not sucking. 

Change is in the cards, apparently. Texas stops trying to be a run-first team and stops playing to not lose. Instead, they turn Garrett Gilbert loose, and he runs the offense, making the best of the excellent athletic talen that's remained hidden so far this season. Things gel, as they always do against Nebraska, and the ‘Horns win the game on big plays from Marquise Goodwin and D.J. Monroe. 

5. Did I mention they're Texas? 

It's going to be a really long 24 hours until this game tomorrow.

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This is the one game....

That scares me to death. As much as I hate Texas fans (mostly due to living amongst them for two years) they almost always have a reason to cheer. They get the most talented kids, and have a pretty darn good coach. I have been back and forth all week about how to predict the outcome of this game and still haven’t made up my mind. Texas has had NU’s number…will it really change? I hope so.

by VarangianGuard on Oct 15, 2010 11:43 AM CDT reply actions  

Colin Cowherd

Just predicted NU to win 41-17 in a blowout.

So I think it shows how bad people think Texas is this yr or how good NU is.

by jtdiddy on Oct 15, 2010 12:12 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

I've

never liked him much either. I realize most of the guys like him are blowhards, but he’s one of the blowhardiest.

Go Big Red Nebraska!
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by Jon Johnston on Oct 15, 2010 2:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

The same guy

Who predicted Texas would win the Big 12 conference again this season. I don’t think he knows as much about college football as he acts like.

by Billgrip on Oct 15, 2010 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm a Texas alum and fan...and....

We are playing horrible. Worst team in 10 years. If you don’t beat us by 21 points…you aren’t that good either.

by Dawnpatrol on Oct 15, 2010 5:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

I guess we'll see if this team turns out worse than our '07 team

The ‘07 team had enough guys on offense who could create, like Charles and McCoy, to score some points despite an O-line that is worse than this year’s and some more Greg Davis foolishness, but their defense was many orders worse than ours now. Hard to say.

by TheElusiveShadow on Oct 15, 2010 10:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

28-17 huskers

they’re defense holds us back a bit, texas offense scores on a long bomb over the top, a freak touchdown of sorts, and a field goal. Signing off until monday, GBR!

by Ceek on Oct 15, 2010 12:21 PM CDT reply actions  

All this talk about blowout

By national pundits is driving me nuts. I would be stunned if we won easily. Not so much because Nebraska’s not a great team, or that Texas isn’t mediocre right now. It’s because Texas is better suited to beat us than any other team in the Big 12. Right now I’m seeing anywhere from a 10 point loss to a 14 point win depending on how things go.

I think the people predicting “Nebraska big” are just looking at “well Texas got trashed by UCLA, who was handled by K-State who Nebraska destroyed so…..” and don’t really understand the UT-NU history, or some of the other dynamics and athletic matchups that will make this game more competitive than it should be.

"My hardest job is to convince the people of Nebraska that 10-1 is not a losing season." - Tom Osborne

by jdhusker on Oct 15, 2010 12:28 PM CDT reply actions  

Agree with that last comment

Transposing opponents really does not work that well, esp in college football (maybe the NFL it works a little better). College teams can play so many different styles, and some may work rather well against X and Y schemes/personnel, but very poorly against Z scheme/personnel.

by KC Gunner on Oct 15, 2010 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

That said

I do think we’ll probably beat KU by like 85.

by KC Gunner on Oct 15, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Heh if we wanted to

But I really hope Bo is merciful to a fault in that one. I don’t think anyone wants to see us run up a 60 point win on Turner…

"My hardest job is to convince the people of Nebraska that 10-1 is not a losing season." - Tom Osborne

by jdhusker on Oct 15, 2010 3:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree with that

Turner is a great guy and, although slightly before my time, a hero of mine growing up (because of my dad’s extensive archive of VHS gameday tapes…loved watched the 1983 slaughter of Missouri).

by KC Gunner on Oct 15, 2010 3:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Amen

Even ignoring Turner, I just don’t think there’s any real grudges to settle with KU (or ISU for that matter). They got a few days in the sun while NU struggled through the Callahan years, but they were generally good sports about it.

On the other hand, I hope we hang as many points as possible on Mizzoo and CU.

by SeanH on Oct 15, 2010 8:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

KU FANS

Hate Nebraska! I know. My cousins live in Lawrence. They want to beat Nebraska in football as much as we want to beat Texas!

by LyneT on Oct 15, 2010 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

Doesn't work well in the NFL either.

Texans > Colts > Giants > Texans…

@GochFaceKiller on Twitter

by Screwface on Oct 15, 2010 2:25 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Plus

It makes it more embarrassing if we lose. Because then everyone in the national media will just be like “Nebraska was so overrated!”

by Billgrip on Oct 15, 2010 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm glad someone on your side feels that way.

I’m ready to throw in the towel, but I know we have one of the most talented teams in the country. And, I know that our ridiculously conservative OC can pull out some marvelous gameplans when his back’s against the wall.

I have a sneaking suspicion this game isn’t decided before the final five minutes.

Good luck.

by mnHorn on Oct 15, 2010 5:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Its all about emotion.

One thing that has always been true about college FB is that its not always about who is the best. But who has the best reason to win?
Who has the emotional advantage?
The Huskers have had rematch brewing for 10 months.
Huskers – players & fans – were pissed off last December and have since had their eye on 10-16-10 at HOME.
Then came the announcement of the “Big 12 farewell tour” as icing on the cake.

We have the best talent AND best emotion. Sounds like a win-win to me…

It will certainly be one BIG day.
And you don’t think OU and UT are a big rivalry? Look at what OU did to them?
I kinda wanted UT to win just so the Huskers were the ones who made them unranked.
But 3 in a row for their first time EVER since Mack Brown is good enough.
We’ll get OU in December.

by KG-RED on Oct 15, 2010 1:19 PM CDT reply actions  

And Special Teams and Turnovers and....

I agree we’ll have emotion on our side, and that counts for a lot. I really like the way the Pelini “Hunter not Hunted” video keeps popping up in interviews – that is exactly the attitude we need.

But I think it is an exaggeration to say we have the best talent. I think we have the best talent in a few key positions (quarterback, anyone?), but team for team Texas nearly always has the cream of the crop compared to any team in the nation.

by UltimaRatioRegum on Oct 15, 2010 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Run Over, Through, Around

Hopefully our D can keep their offense off the field, and Watson will stick with pounding the crap out of them so that by Q4 their tongues are hanging out and Martinez, Helu and Burkhead are running right by them.

One of my favorite post game quotes of all time was after Dan Alexander just blew through the middle every other play against I can’t remember who. They were interviewing one of their very frustrate defensive stars and he said “We knew exactly what they were going to do. And they did it. We just couldn’t stop them!”

Man, I hope to see that Saturday. That would be great. No, it would be awesome to pound the snot out of the Longhorns.

by UltimaRatioRegum on Oct 15, 2010 2:37 PM CDT reply actions  

I agree

There’s no reason to believe that our defense can’t put the clamps down on Texas. Get the ball back quickly and keep pounding away on offense. We might get stymied early, but as those UT defenders get tired, that half step they lose will be costly as a 2-3 yard run can become a 40 yard run pretty easily with the guys we’ve got in our backfield.

That said, our defense needs to be careful with the big plays. I have no fear at all that Texas could effectively nickel and dime us. They’ve tried that all year and failed spectacularly against good defenses. We just need to not let Texas get cheap scores.

"My hardest job is to convince the people of Nebraska that 10-1 is not a losing season." - Tom Osborne

by jdhusker on Oct 15, 2010 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

And that's what our defense is best at

I have complete trust in our secondary not to blow it. They’ve had one major mistake all year.

Twitter: awolfson0

by awolfson on Oct 16, 2010 1:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

#4

I expect absolutely nothing to come of #4/our offense, though it would be a very pleasant surprise. If Gilbert has the opportunity to throw downfield (and connects) and DJ Monroe shows what we’ve seen so far with more touches, we might see something happen there. Otherwise, look for turnovers and 3/outs

I expect Muschamp to have had his guys straightened out after two weeks, thus resulting in a stamina contest vs. T. Magic & Co.. Randall is a BAMF, but we’re actually pretty damn stacked up there all around. The issues we’ve had on D are almost entirely mental, which historically have been corrected in due time with Muschamp.

by Infield Elephant on Oct 15, 2010 3:14 PM CDT reply actions  

The bye week was big for you guys

What I would’ve given to switch spots with OU on your schedule….

"My hardest job is to convince the people of Nebraska that 10-1 is not a losing season." - Tom Osborne

by jdhusker on Oct 15, 2010 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

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