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Setting Expectations Has Everything To Do With Success - So What Do You Expect This Season?

A couple of recent articles by other Husker writers have me thinking about expectation management this week. It's something I'm struggling with lately as I prepare to do an email migration for one of my clients. I've done a lot of project management over my years as a network and communication consultant. What I've learned is that setting the wrong expectations leads to project failure as often as whatever it is you're actually trying to accomplish.

In other words, if you go around telling people the next big thing is the next big thing, and it's good, but not great, you're probably screwed. Conversely, if you go around underselling what you're doing, and it becomes the next big thing, your client is going to end up a lot happier and more likely to bring you back for another project. This is the difference between being in sales and doing project management. The unfortunate reality is that a lot of consultants confuse the two and keep on selling when they really should be managing the project. 

So, what's all this have to do with Husker football?

Star-divide

Well, let's take a look at the two articles I have in mind. Sam McKewon at Nebraska State Paper gives us a nice bit - "The Cupboard Isn't Bare" - about how the Huskers have enough talent to get to (potentially) win the Big 12 and get to a BCS bowl this season.

Then you've got Tad Stryker over at Huskerpedia doing a bit about how the Huskers still have to prove they can beat anyone of substance because they haven't done in a while. Compare the two and tell me who's going to win the popularity contest amongst Husker fans. I doubt it's going to be Tad. There's simply a lot more rah-rah in McKewon's article, while Stryker's article has more to do with fact. Rah-rah gives you that instant gratification and tastes a lot better than fact, kind of like a twinkie relative to meat and potatoes. 

Anyway, McKewon makes the comment that "NU has plenty - read: loads - of talent." - and it honestly makes me bristle. First of all, it's not true relative to the team we really want to be - Oklahoma - and secondly, if I read it enough times I'll start to believe it and then start to expect a Big 12 Championship and BCS bowl out of this team. McKewon deals with my bristling by playing the role of psychiatrist, ending his article with "It's OK to have expectations, y'know. It's how Nebraska football got anywhere in the first place."

Arrrrghhh! Not only is McKewon selling, he's pure evil. Ask Tom Osborne about expectations in 1978, and again in the late '80s and early '90s. Regardless of how in love you are with Bo Pelini as we move into 2009, expecting this team to beat Oklahoma at home, win the Big 12 championship and get to a BCS bowl is nothing more than setting Pelini up for failure. Failure gets you fired these days. Coaches don't survive the way Osborne did when he didn't "win the big one".

Despite my natural need to downplay my own expectations, it's hard to not pick Nebraska to win the Big 12 North despite the fact that we're starting over with a new quarterback. Given the strengths and weaknesses for each team, it's clear the division is up for grabs.

But here's the thing - I'd rather not pick Nebraska to win it. I'd rather pick Kansas. Or Colorado, or Missouri for that matter. That probably rubs some fans the wrong way - as if I'm not being "pro-Nebraska" enough for their liking. Fact is, I'd rather the target and the pressure were on some other team - let them disappoint their fans when they don't win the North and don't get a shot at the Big 12 Championship. Let them put their coach on the hot seat and ultimately de-stabilize their program with all the belly-aching.

It's part of the "promise low, deliver high" philosophy I've tried to live with in my professional life, and that doesn't change just because I'm writing about football. It doesn't change in my personal life - I don't expect a birthday cake but if one happens to show up on June 6th - well, that makes it all the more exciting, then doesn't it? The same correlation holds true for the Huskers - if I expect us to win the Big 12 North, and we happen to beat Oklahoma at home, somehow win the Big 12 and get a BCS bowl berth, well, that's one damned big birthday cake, isn't it? Isn't that more conducive to success?

So I'm wondering - are you one of those fans who expects to win every game, and is then disappointed with the losses? Or do you purposefully set your expectations lower so that you're pleasantly surprised with the outcome?

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Expectations

I think setting our expectations low as fans, will rub off on the players and the entire program. If we become willing to accept losses, we’re done, it’s over. I remember in the 90s how bad it hurt to lose, I don’t feel that same pain any more and that is due to my lowered expectations. We must get back to the days where we felt like the Huskers could compete with any program.

by husker-in-ok on Jun 26, 2009 11:33 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

They don't call us fans (fanatics) for nothing...

But I’m also what I like to call a Husker realist. Do I expect us to win every game? Yes and no. I would love to see it, and the fan in me screams to see us wipe the floor with our entire conference once again, but I also know that a tempered mindset will let one understand the game better, appreciate the effort involved, and maybe even save me from throwing things at my TV…

I’m with you, corn blight, I immediately stop reading posts that are dripping in scarlet kool-aid, mostly because they don’t seem well researched, and cheer leading is best left to our girls on the sidelines with the ‘HUSKER POWER’ posters. But in his defense, this is the longest stretch between games, and every fan is looking for an optimistic boost before September.

And I don’t think selling low is what the coaches do on the recruiting trail. Guys at that age are looking to be motivated, to see a goal and prove to themselves that they can go and get it. A dissapointed player will either give up, or work so that defeat is felt as few times as possible. The latter is obviously the kind of team we want.

In the end, I think Bo has it down – he enjoys the win, hates the loss, and then the next day rolls up his sleeves regardless because he knows we aren’t even close to our potential.

by js17 on Jun 26, 2009 9:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Realism vs. Koolaid

Is always a touchy debate. I agree with js17 on the sentiments in his comments. I think that NU will be improved, maybe not to the level that McKewon is selling, but I do think NU has a shot to win every game they play this year. I am not sure I could say that 2008, yeah I think OU is a stretch but I just get a feeling that NU can play with OU this year. Maybe not beat them, but be competitive.

I completely disagree with Cornblight about setting expectations low. That is complete BS. That attitude about settling for mediocrity so that when you exceed mediocrity it looks great to the eyes of the beholder only allows people or teams to be average to good at best. There is a difference in the business world about setting realistic expectations because investments are on the line, people want to make sure that they are getting full value for the money they are putting in. No one in their right mind who is buying a product or service is going to settle for less than their minimum standard. Those comments from Corn Blight only apply to people who look to make the goals something more than they were intended to be, if good is the target then keeping expectations there in business should be the endstate. Scope creep as it is often called does tend to lead to failure, and this is what I think Corn Blight was really addressing. In business make a standard that you are looking to achieve for a project and stick with it.

In sports the initial expectations have to be high to achieve greatness. If you don’t set expectations that high, what drives coaches and players to get better? Saying Bo Pelini and the Huskers have goals of being simply good isn’t enough. This program has 5 NC’s to it’s credit, is 4th on the all time win list, has 297 consecutive sell outs, etc. How is Bo going to get to a elite level by not demanding elite play from his players? He expects to win every game and his players do also simply because of the confidence their coach has in their abilities. It is that winning attitude that was missing from the program that Bo is trying to re-instill in the team. I have absolutely no problems with expectations being high for this team because I guarantee you the team has the same expectations and would be disappointed if the fans didn’t have the same level of expectations that they do.

by caveman99 on Jun 29, 2009 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

interesting comments......

Let me ask this though…..

is the goal this year to win the Big 12 North, or the Big 12??

Go Big Red Nebraska!
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by Jon Johnston on Jun 29, 2009 9:49 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Win the Big XII

Should be the goal each and every year. Does that mean I will be completely disappointed in the team if they don’t achieve this, no but I don’t think that the team should expect less. Realism in team expectations has no place in sports when you are trying to get something accomplished. Realism by a coach when he/she is analyzing what the team needs to do to improve yes, but not in expectations.

by caveman99 on Jun 30, 2009 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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