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Under the Hood: 2009 Regular Season Nebraska Stats Review


I've done Wednesday "Under the Hood" segments for the year, and it's time to do the same tally on our 2009 regular season statistics.  The bottom line - as good as the defense looked, the offense looked just as bad.

As much as we'd like to blame a massive conspiracy for giving Texas a second back on the clock, the fact is that an abysmal showing on offense cost us the Big 12 championship and a BCS bowl bid. I hate to squash a good conspiracy theory, but the Big 12 had more interest in us winning that game than losing. That one second cost the Big 12 conference a second BCS bid, a payout of $17.5M.

There's a lot of speculation about what will happen with the offense as we head into next season. The two biggest questions involves coaches. Will Shawn Watson be retained? Should Barney Cotton be fired? Before I speculate on either, let's take a look at the regular season's statistics.

Star-divide

Offensive Statistics

Offense 
Rush YPG 141.23 (68/6)
Rush YPC 3.96 (71/6)
Rush TDS 18 (67/7)
   
Pass YPG 175.9 (101/11)
Pass YPA 6.7 (87/9)
Pass TDS 15 (76/10)
Pass Efficiency 122.30 (83/8)
   
Total Offense 317.2 (102/11)
   
Scoring Offense 24.5 (80/8)

Obviously two things stand out, the passing yardage per game at 101st, and the total offense at 102nd.

 

The other statistics look better only because the aforementioned are so horrific. We finished in the lower half of all other offensive statistics nationally. That's a pretty lousy offense.

 

Defensive Statistics

Defense 
Rush YPG 94.69 (11/4)
Rush YPC 2.77 (7/3)
Rush TDS 7 (8/2)
   
Pass YPG 189.1 (25/3)
Pass YPA 5.4 (6/2)
Pass TDS 7 (2/1)
   
Total Defense 283.8 (9/3)
Scoring Defense 11.2 (2/1)

There's not much you can say here other than "Wow!". The fact that we gave up only seven passing touchdowns all season is just incredible.

The Details

3rd Down Conversions (Pctg)37.16 (79/8)
Red Zone Conversions (Score %) 80.43 (69/8)
First Downs (Per Game)
 15.9 (113/12)
Turnover Margin +4 (45/6)
Sacks – Total 42 (2/1)
Sacks Per Game 3.23 (3/2)
Tackles for Loss – Total 89 (14/3)
Tackles for Loss – Per Game 6.85 (23/3)
Sacks Allowed – Total 19 (43/5)
Sacks Allowed Per Game 1.46 (39/5)
Punting (Avg) 41.46 (45/5)
Punt Returns 11.34 (34/4)
Kickoffs (Avg) 68.30 (1/1)
Kickoff Returns 23.31 (34/5)
Penalties (Yds/G) 64.5 (102/7)

Nebraska did fairly well in kick and punt returns thanks to the services of Niles Paul. The guy showed that he is a playmaker, especially during the Big 12 Championship game when he provided a 43-yard punt return and a 42-yard kick return. Unfortunately, he had only one reception for four yards because Zac Lee proved incapable of getting him the ball. More on that in a bit.

The second thing that stands out are the penalties. This was a problem early in the season and plagued the Cornhuskers throughout the entire season. You could attribute the Virginia Tech and Texas loss to penalties. Remember that at Virginia Tech two touchdowns were called back due to penalties, and then there was Larry Asante's horse collar tackle at the end of the game that put Texas within field goal range.

First downs, ugh. 113th in the nation and dead last in the Big 12. When you think about it for a minute, there wasn't  a single offensive player that was the go-to guy when it came to picking up first downs. No receiver performed consistently enough and/or Zac Lee's passes were off target. Even Roy Helu, who didn't have too bad a season, couldn't be counted on to pick up short yardage throughout the season. Rex Burkhead might be that guy next year, but injuries kept him from further development.

Zac Lee

I don't mean to single out Lee as the cause for all our offensive problems, but the fact is he had a lot to do with them. Below are his passing stats for the season.

OpponentAttCompPct.YardsYards/AttIntTDRating
Fla. Atlantic 22 15 68.2 213 9.7 1 2 170.42
Arkansas St. 35 27 77.1 340 9.7 0 4 196.46
@ 12 Virginia Tech 30 11 36.7 136 4.5 2 0 61.42
La.-Lafayette 18 15 83.3 238 13.2 0 1 212.72
@ Missouri 33 14 42.4 158 4.8 0 3 112.64
Texas Tech 22 16 72.7 128 5.8 0 0 121.6
Iowa St. 37 20 54.1 248 6.7 3 0 94.14
@ Baylor 0 0 - 0 - 0 0 -
Oklahoma 9 5 55.6 35 3.9 0 1 124.9
@ Kansas 21 13 61.9 196 9.3 0 0 140.31
Kansas St. 19 13 68.4 166 8.7 1 1 148.65
@ Colorado 14 9 64.3 73 5.2 0 1 131.66
 2 Texas 19 6 31.6 39 2.1 3 0 17.25
Totals 279 164 58.8 1970 7.1 10 13 126.29

First of all, a 17.25 quarterback rating for the Texas game.... well, it's beyond horrible. I mentioned Niles Paul's playmaking abilities earlier, but in the Big 12 title game, it looked as if Lee just chucked the ball up in the air because that's what the play called for. There seemed to be little concern for where it was going, other than the general vicinity of our receiver, and that's why he had three interceptions.

I don't understand why Lee didn't make any progress throughout the season. He looked fine early in the season (admittedly against Sun Belt teams), and his performance at Virginia Tech could be written off as a quarterback making his first start on the road against a ranked opponent. The rest of the season, though, is pretty disappointing. Chalk it up to a lack of confidence, whatever, but at the end of season, it wasn't good.

As for Shawn Watson and Barney Cotton - I've moved that into another article as it became fairly long and deserved it's own space. It'll publish later today.

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Absolutely terrible

This defense deserves better than this. There are JUCO teams that could have done better on offense.

Hadoken!!

by Brizzle T on Dec 9, 2009 8:39 AM CST reply actions  

Big XII interests
“the Big 12 had more interest in us winning that game than losing. That one second cost the Big 12 conference a second BCS bid, a payout of $17.5M.”

I saw the figure as far less, maybe in the range of $4M or so. Regardless, the key that while Texas winning this game might have meant a hit this year and generated less money for the Big XII than a Nebraska win and two BCS bowls, a Nebraska win would have thrown the BCS system into total chaos: nearly all can agree that an undefeated Texas has a superior claim to face Alabama in the title game than the other undefeateds Cincy, TCU & Boise State.

But if Texas has lost, there is no clear consensus at all among those other 3 undefeated teams as to who should face Alabama. A Nebraska win would have laid bare the BCS’s faults and tarnished its ability to determine a “true” National Title game beyond repair, even for the most blinded or paid-off lackeys to the BCS system. The Big XII has a major stake in the BCS system and has often done very well in it (i.e, sending two teams in years past). Doing what it can to ensure the BCS survives well into the future surely outweighs a single-year increased payout.

by KC Gunner on Dec 9, 2009 10:19 AM CST reply actions  

Good post

Zac’s ratings for the KU and K-State games are at least impressive and held out the promise of improvement over the season. The 9.3 and 8.7 yards per attempt were also pretty good. Unfortunately the CU and Texas games returned to miserable, and I suppose the performances against KU and K-State can probably be chalked up to their less-than-stellar defenses.

by KC Gunner on Dec 9, 2009 10:24 AM CST reply actions  

seems to me there were two culprits in your offense's mediocrity this season

your offensive line and your quarterback

Your offensive line was pedestrian, at best, which can make your quasrterback look bad, but even when Lee had plenty of time to throw the ball, he performed poorly.

I realy am at a loss as to what is wrong with your o-line, because even an inexperienced unit that may be lacking talent in some areas should be able to gel through the season and have a few running plays is can successfully execute with impunity, regardless of the opposing defense, by game 13.

by Beergut on Dec 9, 2009 11:13 AM CST reply actions  

Would you attribute that to coaching then?

or playcalling?

Or yes, both of those?

You can't possibly be a scientist if you mind people thinking that you're a fool.
~Wanko the Sane
Big Red Kool-aid Drinker @ Corn Nation

by JLew on Dec 9, 2009 11:42 AM CST up reply actions  

I think it is solely a coaching issue

I haven’t watched enough of your games to comment on playcalling.

The only real headscratcher for me was really a personnel issue; when you had the 1st and goal from the 10 against texas, I wondered why you didn’t put Green in to run the option a few times.

by Beergut on Dec 9, 2009 12:50 PM CST up reply actions  

just hear me out

I think we have wasted enough time waiting for lee to figure it out. Yes playcalling has been bad but it seems like Lee just plays scare that each pass will be his last. Yes Cody will make some mistakes but he has as strong arm while running fearlessly. I say we cut the Lee cord and roll full time with Cody

by ChipperForManager on Dec 9, 2009 12:14 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

I really don't think Lee's performance...

against KSU and KU was really any different than vs. UT and CU. Simply better corners and safeties with CU and UT. Case in point, remember Lee’s 47 yd pass to Paul setting up our 2nd TD vs. KSU? That pass was horribly underthrown, but KSU’s coverage was so poor that Paul was able to make a play. Against UT, Lee again underthrows twice, but UT, a far better secondary than KSU, is able to capitalize for 2 ints.

I don’t think there is anything to suggest that Lee is really any different than game one. Any variation of his play is due only to the different abilities of the different defenses he faced and to the more conservative playcalling as the season went on. Thats why my hopes are pinned to Green next year, for there is no indication that Lee will be any different.

by meatybob on Dec 9, 2009 1:43 PM CST reply actions  

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