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Under The Hood: Nebraska vs Texas Statistical Comparison

One piece of advice - don't bother defending Nebraska's offense to anyone. You don't need to - people aren't expecting us to win so that pressure is on Texas. In fact, just consider our offense a zero, and then make the case for why we won't need an offensive touchdown to beat them.

Next question is - can you make that case? Answer = you can if you're delusional and that describes my relationship with Nebraska football. Most of the predictions I see from Texas people (reasonable Texas people, is that an oxymoron? Just asking...) are in the 20-point range.

Let's figure that Texas scores 21 points. Obviously we'll need 21 to match or better. If you give us a big play on special teams, blocked punt or kick, there's one-third. Our defense should be capable of a big play, say a Ndamukong Suh interception return (or Matt O'Hanlon, I'm not picky) for a touchdown (where he runs over Colt McCoy like a rag doll), there's another third.

Can our offense score seven points against Texas?

Star-divide

Statistics include national and conference rankings in parentheses.

Offensive Statistics

Nebraska Texas
Rush YPG 147.42 (64/6)   163.92 (47/5)
Rush YPC 4.12 (69/6)   4.40 (50/3)
Rush TDS 18 (61/7)   27 (8/1)
       
Pass YPG 187.3 (93/9)   287.7 (13/3)
Pass YPA 7.0 (67/8)   7.5 (43/2)
Pass TDS 15 (75/10)   27 (10/3)
Pass Efficiency 128.95 (62/8)   148.5 (15/1)
       
Total Offense 334.8 (93/11)   451.6 (11/3)
Scoring Offense 25.6 (72/8)   43.0 (3/1)


- Move along, there's nothing to see on the left side here.

- On the right side, it's interesting to note that Texas is eighth in the nation with rushing TDs. In fact, it's somewhat shocking with all the negativity about their run game. 14 of their 27 rushing TDs came against their non-conference opponents, leaving 13 for eight Big 12 games. That sounds better, doesn't it?

- 10 of Texas 27 passing TDs came against non-conference opponents.

- Texas longest rush of the season was that 65-yard run last week against the Aggies. McCoy had another long rush of 43 against the Aggies as well. Against Big 12 opponents, they've had only six rushing plays over 20 yards.

- Texas looks like they've gotten their running game together, largely because they've found a productive back. Running out of time, I'll expound on this later, hopefully this afternoon.

- The Longhorns longest pass of the season was an 88-yard pass against Central Florida from McCoy to Jordan Shipley (surprise, surprise). The pair hooked up for a 78-yarder against UL-Monroe. The longest against a Big 12 opponent was McCoy-Malcolm Wiliams for 68 yards. Against conference opponents, they've had 12 passes longer than 20 yards. Of those, only two were to Shipley. Four went to Williams, two to James Kirkendoll, and one to John Chiles.

Defensive Statistics

Nebraska Texas
Rush YPG 101.08 (14/5)   61.75 (1/1)
Rush YPC 2.98 (12/5)   1.99 (1/1)
Rush TDS 6 (5/2)   5 (2/1)
       
Pass YPG 189.5 (17/2)   201.4 (39/3)
Pass YPA 5.4 (7/2)   5.6 (9/3)
Pass TDS 7 (3/1)   14 (34/4)
       
Total Defense 290.6 (11/3)   263.2 (5/1)
Scoring Defense 11.1 (3/1)   15.4 (9/3)


- Oklahoma's defense is comparable to the Longhorns, so we've played a defense of this caliber before

- We gave up three touchdown passes to Colorado, yet remain first in the nation in defending touchdown passes. It'd have been nice to have kept that number lower and remain in the "that's incredible" category (maybe we're still there, I'll look at that stuff after the season is over), but this is one key area between both these teams.

- The longest pass and run plays by our opponents both came in the Virginia Tech game, with a 46-yard by Ryan Williams and the disappointing 81-yard pass by Tyrod Taylor that helped them when the game.

- The 1.99 yard per carry given up by Texas defense is astounding. They've given up only six plays of over 20 yards all season. If that sounds awesome, the Blackshirts aren't far behind with eight. In passing plays of over 25 yards, Texas has given up 13, while Nebraska has given up 18.

The Details

Nebraska Texas
3rd Down Conversions (Pctg) 39.52 (59/6)   47.70 (13/2)
Red Zone Conversions (Score %) 80 (71/8)   92.86 (9/1)
       
Turnover Margin +4 (39/5)   +12 (8/1)
Sacks 33 (12/5)   36 (5/3)
Tackles for Loss 74 (38/7)   103 (2/1)
Sacks Allowed 18 (40/5)   22 (61/6)
Punting (Avg) 41.98 (38/4)   38.94 (87/9)
Punt Returns 10.95 (37/5)   13.45 (14/2)
Kickoffs (Avg) 68.32 (1/1)   63.47 (34/5)
Kickoff Returns 23 (38/5)   28.31 (3/1)
Penalties (Yds/G) 64.6 (100/7)   57.9 (81/3)


- I hate to say this, but it continues to bug me. Remove the eight turnovers from the Iowa State game (as if you could) and Nebraska's turnover margin would be one of the best in the nation. There. Done with that.

- Texas kickoff return man D.J. Monroe is ranked third nationally with a 35.79 yard average. He's scored two touchdowns, both against non-conference opponents, where his kickoff return average is 52 yard per return. Against Big 12 opponents, it's 26.78. Niles Paul is ranked 43rd, with a 25.36 average. Good news, though as Paul has gotten better. Against the Big 12, his average is slightly higher at 26.83 yards per return.

- We will need to pick up some third downs (Captain Obvious). We were 1-for-14 against Oklahoma, but kept them out of the end zone because they had a freshman quarterback. Colt McCoy - no freshman. Against Kansas and Kansas State, we were 7-for-16, and then digressed at Colorado where we went 3-for-10 (and played like crap). I don't know what you're thinking of as a solution, but I'm thinking of Rex Burkhead and Brandon Kinnie.

- I double-checked the penalty stat on Texas. Hey, perhaps we will pick up some holding calls this weekend. 

The Opponents

Total Offense RankNebraska Opponent Total Defense Rank Total Offense Rank Texas Total Defense Rank
21 Florida Atlantic 113   51 UL-Monroe 47
90 Arkansas State 49   112 @Wyoming 83
56 @Virginia Tech 13   7 Texas Tech 48
72 UL-Lafayette 95   23 UTEP 111
33 @Missouri 55   104 Colorado 59
7 Texas Tech 48   29 Oklahoma 7
75 Iowa State 100   33 Missouri 55
86 @Baylor 96   62 Oklahoma State 32
29 Oklahoma 7   84 Central Florida 45
25 Kansas 74   86 Baylor 96
83 Kansas State 38   25 Kansas 74
104 Colorado 59   6 Texas A&M 107
56.75 Average 62.25   51.83 Average

63.67

 

- Both sides averages are nearly equal, which is expected when you play a lot of common opponents. I wasn't going to include this chart this time, but I really wanted to know about how their non-conference opponents, mostly because I could then do a little more smack talking.

- Funny that Texas A&M's defense is so horrible.

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Scoring defense...

I just hope the scoring defense stats predict everything. We score 15 points on their “D”, and they score 12 on ours. Game over!

by Mr. Corn on Dec 2, 2009 11:13 AM CST reply actions  

Is there any way you can list the same stats but counting only conference games? Texas played zero tough games out of conference and Nebraska at least played one.

by WayneM on Dec 2, 2009 12:30 PM CST reply actions  

i guess

we could have pussed out completely like Texas did this year.

Texas deserves to lose this game if for no other reason than gutlessness. Oklahoma played a tough schedule, and it cost them dearly. Texas plays shit, and look where they are. It’s because of this kind of scheduling that CFB is going down the toilet, not because there isn’t a playoff or because of the BCS.

It’s because schools like Texas are gutless.

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 3, 2009 12:00 AM CST up reply actions  

It's unfortunate we didn't play anyone out of conference this year

But we were going to play Arkansas until they chickened out and played A&M instead.

by Texas Wahoo on Dec 3, 2009 9:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Jon...

I know our non conference schedule is very hard to defend, much like your offensive gameplan all year; however, I’ll try. Imagine me trying not to laugh while I say this.

Wyoming and UCF are going to bowls. There I said it.

Get off your knees Greg, you're blowin' the game.

by kriess on Dec 3, 2009 9:57 AM CST up reply actions  

I did

and you should have beaten Va Tech. Much like should have beaten TTech last year.

Get off your knees Greg, you're blowin' the game.

by kriess on Dec 3, 2009 9:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Texas

will have to help us win this game with some turnovers and other miscues, dropped balls and things like that. The thing I wonder about what did the Husker coaches learn from the Texas A&M game. It looked to me they were able to run it right at them. I recall a year Colorado exposed our defense the week before this game and it didn’t get any better against Miami. Was it a fluke what A&M did or does Texas have a couple of weaknesses that nobody found till last week? OU was the best running attack that they had faced up till that point and they had O-line issues big time in that game. Unfortunately I don’t think our offense will be able to sustain enough drives to help out the defense. The Longhorn offense is better than OU’s if they play 87 snaps against the McCoy it might not be pretty.

by Huzkerfan on Dec 2, 2009 6:46 PM CST reply actions  

the key

with A&M is Jerrod Johnson. He’s a true dual-threat QB where Lee just isn’t that tough when he’s running the ball.

Cody Green…. maybe, but he’s raw and you know he’ll make mistakes.

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 3, 2009 12:01 AM CST up reply actions  

D.J. Monroe

will not be playing. DWI or something of that nature. He’s suspended indefinitely. Not exactly a sigh of relief for you guys though. His replacement is Marquis Goodwin, another track star.

by goingforthecorner on Dec 3, 2009 10:48 AM CST reply actions  

thanks

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 3, 2009 12:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Does

anybody think we could see both QB’s in this game. Or do you think that Bo will stick with Lee the whole game?

by Huzkerfan on Dec 3, 2009 7:15 PM CST reply actions  

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