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Thoughts from the Arm Chair: Let the Games Begin!

Hello everyone.  My name is John Farris.  Some of you may remember me as the co-host of MidWest Coast Bias with Brandon "Blankman" Cavanaugh until early this year, when schedules and other responsibilities caused us to close the doors on the podcast and the site.  As a result, writing has become a better way to go as far as getting opinions out there (and those of you who listened know I have some) because it doesn’t take near the time that the podcast did.  Thanks for Blankman for pointing out the site to me, and thanks to Corn Blight and the folks at SBN for putting up a great site where fans can be heard.

Alright, enough of the sappy stuff…

Star-divide

I’ve decided to revive a column I did at MWCB on occasion – Thoughts from the Arm Chair.  Basically, I throw a bunch of opinions together on different subjects that I really can’t come up with a thousand words on.  My goal:  to put one of these out a week, the earlier the better.  This will be much easier to do now that we’re near kickoff of the season, because a lot of it will be about the previous game and what to expect next week.  On MWCB, I had a tendency to sneak in non Husker references (Brandon just LOVED that), but here, I’m going to keep it to the Huskers and College Football in general.  However, if I manage to post on other fan blogs in the SB Nation, I’ll be sure to link them here.  What can I say?  I love the attention.  As far as the nickname, the Big Red part is obvious, however Raider has to do with the Oakland Raiders – not Texas Tech.  It may be harder to cheer for them than it has been the Cubs lately, but I’m also no bandwagon jumper.

Well, what do you say we see what I can rant on this week?

Here’s my .02 on the scheduling comments from Jeff Jamrog: Don’t go blasting the previous AD on scheduling when these gems were on the schedule in the "good ol' days”:

Akron
Cal (pre-Tedford)
North Texas
Texas Tech (only good for a quote from Spike Dykes at that time)
Middle Tenn St.
Utah
N. Illinois

To be kind, I’ll stop right there.  A quick glance at the past schedules at Huskerpedia shows that the 90s were no better than now when it comes to non conference opponents.  For Jamrog to say that the former AD only wanted to schedule a bunch of wins when you look at our past schedules is laughable at best, and a brutal revision of history at worst.  Jeff, take a look at those 90s schedules before commenting on schedules next time.  Scheduling cupcakes in the non conference isn’t new (and it's not necessarily a bad idea for a tune up game, either); revising history to make it look like the previous AD was the first to do it while brushing a 30 year history of it under the rug is.

What do I expect from the Huskers this year?  I expect a much better D effort this year.  Notice I said “effort”.  I’m not going to go out and say that NU should have a top 10 defense this year.  To go from a D ranked in the 100s to top 10 is all but impossible in College Football.  However, I think a D ranked in the 30s or 40s is a sign of a huge improvement.  Personally, I see a shift like we saw from 2002 to 2003.  It will be a much better Defense, with players swarming to the ball and much better execution of assignments.  NU will look much better against teams in general, but will have a few games where offenses will get the best of the NU Defense.  In 2003, those games were Missouri, Texas, and Kansas State.  This year, expect those teams to be Missouri, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma.  The big difference between 2003 and 2008 will be the offense.  In 2003, when a team was up more than 2 touchdowns on NU, it was a tremendous hole that they couldn’t get out of.  This year, expect those games to be more of a shootout. 

To close this out, let's talk about the game, shall we?  Western Michigan seems to be an experienced team by all accounts, returning many of their starters from a 5-7 campaign last year.  There's a lot of speculation that if Nebraska is looking past them (and the next 2 games) to Virginia Tech and Mizzou in weeks 5 and 6, that WMU could provide a game and a possible upset.  Experience is good, but experience from a 5-7 season with a 3-4 record in the MAC probably won't be enough to topple a Husker team looking for the first step of redemption.  Expect the 3 headed combo of Lucky, Helu, and Castille - combined with a defense that wants to reasure the state that last year was a bad dream and it's all better now - to make a major statement in Bo Pelini's first game as a non-interim head coach.  My head tells me to reel it in and predict a close game, but I'm going with my heart on this one: NU 62 - WMU 14.

That's it folks.  In lieu of a witty catchphrase, I wish you all a good Labor Day weekend - and Go Big Red.

This FanPost created by a registered user of Corn Nation.

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Past scheduling

Not really in defense of Jamrog but this topic peaked my intrest when fans of other teams questioned not just our schedule this year but of years past. All I did was look at Huskers.com for schedules of the past 20 years (back till about ‘85 or so) and noticed sort of a pattern. The non-conf. of the 80’s usually when about 3 (future) BCS teams and one tune-up. The 90’s slid more to the cupcake variety but still went about 2 (BCS) and 2 (tune ups…Pacific anyone???).

Now since about 2000 the schedule make up definitely changes as more directional schools and I-AA teams were more prevelant for the non-conf. slate. Granted, we at least played one large BCS team (Va. Tech, USC, Pitt…seriously, Pitt was the major pull in ‘04-’05) but holy hell how many times can you play Troy in a decade? (Answer: Unlimited, just as long as you don’t play down there) The point being is that over the past 7 or 8 years we have totally seen a slide in the non-conf. games compared to the ‘glory days’. Does that mean those ‘future’ BCS teams of the past were any good? Of course not, but I’d rather play them then NW Alabama State Tech or the schedule we got lined up the next two years save Va. Tech.

P.S. I also feel the need to defend “He that must not be named” but he did put up some good non-conf. games to look forward to like Washington, UCLA, and Tennesse in like 2037 or whatever.

by Doc1028 on Aug 27, 2008 5:54 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Scheduling

Sure, there were more current or future BCS teams on the list, but they were hardly contending when they were scheduled. Cal, MSU, and Texas Tech were laughing stocks when NU played them. There wasn’t that big a difference between those teams (NOTE: AT THAT TIME – they’ve only improved since those years) and the Sun Belt teams we get next year or the likes of Western Michigan. I just don’t see that much difference between the schedules when you look at the quality of those teams when NU played them.

by Big Red Raider on Aug 27, 2008 10:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Uh...no...

Sagarin’s ratings only go back to 1998, but in 1998 when Cal was coming onto the Husker schedule, Cal was #53. Tech was a perennial 6 or 7 win team in the 90’s under Dykes. In 1998, Tech was #33 in Sagarin’s ratings. (Yeah, they weren’t a non-conference foe at that point, but their record was similar, so figure somewhere in the middle of the road…)

The Sun Belt teams all rate under #100, as do Western Kentucky and Idaho. South Dakota State is somewhere around #100.

There’s no comparison in the schedules. Our non-conference schedules the next two seasons are utterly laughable and the worst in many, many years.

by Husker Mike on Aug 29, 2008 7:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And yet...

You still gloss over the 1-AA and MAC teams I listed as examples. None of those teams (Cal and Tech included) were more than cakewalks no matter how many Sagarin ratings you want to pull to support your argument. You talk like 6 or 7 wins is an accomplishment. That’s 1-2 wins better than a record that got NU’s head coach fired.

I’m not saying the non con next year is good, but to dismiss other years of cakewalks to make the previous AD look bad is hypocrisy at it’s finest.

by Big Red Raider on Aug 30, 2008 10:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tech and Cal don't belong in that conversation.

Now, do you have a point of suggesting that Akron, Middle Tennessee State, North Texas, and Northern Illinois are poor games? Yepper.

But there’s a big difference between the 2008-2010 schedules and the past.
2008: 1 perennial power, 1 mediocre MAC team, 2 horrible teams
2009: 1 perennial power, 3 horrible Sun Belt teams
2010: 1 mediocre BCS conference opponent, 2 horrible teams, and 1 “FCS/1-AA” team.

Past schedules?
2002: Penn State, Utah State, Troy State (1 BCS opponent, 2 horribles, though Arizona State was added as a “Preseason Classic”)
2001: Troy, Notre Dame, Rice (1 BCS opponent, 2 horribles, and TCU added as a preseason classic.)
OK, those are slightly better than 2009 and 2010…but not by much until you factor in the preseason classics.
2000: San Jose St, Notre Dame, Iowa (2 BCS opponents, 1 horrible)
1999: Iowa, Cal, Southern Miss (2 mediocre BCS opponents and 1 good mid-major)
1998: Alabama Birmingham, Cal, Washington (1 top BCS opponent, 1 mediocre BCS opponent, and 1 horrible. La Tech was a preseason classic )
1997: Akron, Central Florida, Washington (1 top BCS opponent, 2 horribles)
1996: Michigan St, Arizona St, Colorado State (2 ok BCS opponents, 1 good mid-major)
1995: Michigan St, Arizona St, Pacific, Washington State (2 ok BCS opponents, 1 mediocre BCS opponent, 1 horrible)
1994: Texas Tech, UCLA, Pacific, Wyoming (1 top BCS opponent, 1 ok BCS opponent, 1 mid-major, and 1 horrible)
1993: North Texas, Texas Tech, UCLA, Colorado St (1 top BCS opponent, 1 ok BCS opponent, 1 mid major, and 1 horrible)
1992: Utah, Mid Tenn St, Washington, Arizona St (1 top BCS opponent, 1 ok BCS opponent, 1 horrible, 1 1-AA)
1991: Utah State, Colorado St, Washington, Arizona St (1 top BCS opponent, 1 ok BCS opponent, 1 horrible,1 mid-major)
1990: Baylor, Northern Illinois, Minnesota, Oregon St (3 mediocre BCS opponents, 1 horrible)

If you look back historically, when NU had 4 non-conference games, 2 have typically been against BCS conference opponents, usually a home-and-home. And I’m drawing a distinction between WAC, C-USA, and Mountain West types of teams, and bottom feeders from the Big West and Sun Belt conference.

Now if you are suggesting that it doesn’t matter if the team is mediocre (top 50 or 60) or horrible (i.e. a Sun Belt team), I kind of see your point. I disagree with it, because there there is a big difference between losing to a Southern Miss instead of an Arkansas State. Southern Miss competes in bowl games regularly at least.

by Husker Mike on Sep 1, 2008 8:24 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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